Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 76.4%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet12. Feb. 26, 06:13 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiWill the next German Chancellor be elected with AfD support?
Manifold MarketsFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
PolymarketWill Merz be German chancellor on Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Markus Söder ever be German chancellor?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Ed Miliband becomes Chancellor of the Exchequer at any point before the end of 2029.
- Resolution will be verified through official UK government sources, specifically the GOV.UK Chancellor of the Exchequer page.
- The market resolves NO if Miliband does not hold this position by December 31, 2029.
- Ed Miliband currently serves as Secretary of State for Energy Security and Net Zero since July 2024.
- He was Leader of the Labour Party and Leader of the Opposition from 2010 to 2015.
Offene Märkte
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 494.578,5 €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 809.348,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 123.374,6 €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 76% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030? entschieden?
- Will Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Ed Miliband become Chancellor of the Exchequer before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution Criteria