Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
6 38%-2.5%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
528,7 €
Liquidität
23.579,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
36.0% / 40.0%
Spread
11.1%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-3.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
8. Juli 26, 23:3531. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
638%
Plattformen vergleichen· 6
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 38% | — | 528,7 € | 23.579,5 € | vor 14 Minuten | |
 Kalshi96% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 99% | — | 0 € | 1388,1 € | vor 14 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
5Mon
99%
93%
79%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
40 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen1986,7 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026.
- Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$6019. Juli18T Daten26. Juli
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This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026.
- Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).