Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 82.1%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet1. Juni 25, 06:05 UTC31. Dez. 28, 04:40 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Yeat and Billie Eilish make a song together this year?
KalshiWill WW3 start before gta6?
Manifold MarketsWill WW3 happen before GTA6?
Manifold MarketsWill any scenes of The White Lotus season 4 be set at a Bilderberg Conference (or similar) event?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegeln
In 'The Reality War', the Fifteenth Doctor, played by Ncuti Gatwa, appears to regenerate into a new incarnation of Doctor Who's titular character played by Billie Piper.
- There has, however, been no official confirmation that Billie Piper has been cast as the Sixteenth Doctor.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, by the end of 2028, Billie Piper appears in a televised Doctor Who episode in which she is credited as The Doctor, and the BBC confirms that she plays the Sixteenth Doctor.
- This market will resolve NO if someone other than Billie Piper is confirmed as the Sixteenth Doctor by the BBC, or if the matter is unresolved at the end of 2028.
- Clarifications
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 470.753,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.050,2 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Billie Piper play the Sixteenth Doctor in Doctor Who??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 82% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Billie Piper play the Sixteenth Doctor in Doctor Who? entschieden?
- Will Billie Piper play the Sixteenth Doctor in Doctor Who? soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Billie Piper play the Sixteenth Doctor in Doctor Who? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: In 'The Reality War', the Fifteenth Doctor, played by Ncuti Gatwa, appears to regenerate into a new incarnation of Doctor Who's titular character played by Billie Piper.