Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 99%
Prognostiker
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet12. März 24, 06:34 UTC2. Jan. 27, 12:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will NASA's mission Artemis III find water and use it on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill there still be an Apollo moonwalker alive on the day the Artemis III crew walks on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing?
Manifold MarketsNASA's mission Artemis 3 to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Artificial wombs for premature babies be tested in humans by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRegeln
NASA's FY2025 budget request schedules the launch of Artemis III for September 2026.
- Will it launch before 2027?
- Resolves YES if a crewed launch in the Artemis program, as part of a mission named Artemis III and intended to deliver humans to the surface of the moon, lifts off the pad before 2027, local time at the launch site.
- For the purposes of this market, the mission must be named Artemis III and have the same primary goal that the Artemis III mission has at time of writing - to deliver humans to the lunar surface.
- Note that Artemis III may involve many launches - this market resolves on the launch of the one carrying humans.
Offene Märkte
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 103.065,4 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57.371,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 57.371,5 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 817.857 €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Artemis III launch (with humans, destination moon) before 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Artemis III launch (with humans, destination moon) before 2027? entschieden?
- Will Artemis III launch (with humans, destination moon) before 2027? soll am 2. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Artemis III launch (with humans, destination moon) before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: NASA's FY2025 budget request schedules the launch of Artemis III for September 2026.