Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 81.3%
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17
Fragetyp
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet12. Feb. 25, 02:13 UTC31. Dez. 28, 13:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be fresh fruit/vegetables advertised+verified as being sold "microplastics-free" in any supermarket by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the leaked OpenAI "GPT 5.6 Sol" proof that nonsofic groups exist be verified as correct?
Manifold MarketsWill a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old?
Manifold MarketsWill I live to be 200 years old?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if anyone current living is verified as 120 years old by 2030.
- Only Jeanne Calment (1875-1997) has been verified as reaching 120. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_the_verified_oldest_people https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_oldest_living_people
