Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 06:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 87.1%
Prognostiker
76
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet13. Dez. 22, 08:58 UTC30. Jan. 02, 23:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old?
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Manifold MarketsHow many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
KalshiHow many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
I don't smoke, I don't abuse drugs, and I rarely drink (~twice per month).
- I sport at least 180 minutes per week (primarily aerobic exercise), sometimes much more.
- I eat a healthy diet (for American standards) with lots of vegetables and not a lot of meat.
- I am currently very content with my life, including my social and romantic life.
- I rarely feel stressed (~once per week slightly stressed).
- Close date updated to 2202-01-31 12:00 am
