Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 52%
Prognostiker
216
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet26. März 23, 00:41 UTC1. Jan. 50, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150?
Manifold MarketsWill someone born before 2001 live to be 150?
Manifold MarketsWill a cat born before 2020 live to be ≥150 years old?
Manifold MarketsWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
KalshiWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Time spent uploaded counts, but only real time, not simulated time.
- If reanimated from cryonic storage, only the time they spent "alive" counts.
Offene Märkte
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 35.620,9 €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5183,7 €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 83.504,6 €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 864.245,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 915.756,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1507,6 €
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4192,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 52% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150? entschieden?
- Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150? soll am 1. Januar 2150 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Time spent uploaded counts, but only real time, not simulated time.