Will Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026?
RegulierungOne-OffBusiness & CorporateKIChessCorporate ActionsSport1MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 77.7%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet18. Sept. 26, 21:25 UTC1. Nov. 26, 06:00 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election
Manifold MarketsWhich coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
PolymarketWill at least 10 countries have some form of bans on language AI coded into law by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
KalshiJacob Coxon Will Appear on the All-In Podcast with the Besties
Manifold MarketsWhat will Anthropic's public ticker be?
PolymarketRegeln
Anthropic, PBC confidentially submitted a draft registration statement on Form S-1 to the SEC on June 1, 2026 (Anthropic's own announcement, CNBC).
- A confidential draft is not public and is not visible on EDGAR.
- At some point before a roadshow, the company must "flip" the filing public — the prospectus has to be in investors' hands at least 15 days before the roadshow begins.
- This market asks whether that public flip happens by the end of October 2026.
- Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, on or before October 31, 2026 (EDGAR filing date, US Eastern time), a Form S-1 registration statement (or an S-1/A amendment that makes the previously confidential draft publicly available) filed by Anthropic, PBC — or by a renamed/reorganized successor entity for the same company — is publicly viewable on the SEC's EDGAR system at https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar and https://efts.sec.gov/LATEST/search-index?q=anthropic
Offene Märkte
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.2pt94%
- Yes-1.2pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 19,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 262.997,1 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-10.0pt69%
- December 15,-13.5pt65%
- November 30,-12.0pt49%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt91%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt88%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-3.0pt83%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+9.0pt34%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+6.0pt27%
- Before Apr 1, 202717%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7 Mio. €
KALSHIWhen will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Before Jan 1, 202878%
- Before Jul 1, 202733%
- Before Jan 1, 20277%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 13.008,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 8088 €
POLYMARKETDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2027-16.1pt62.6%
- 8–11B+6.7pt10.1%
- 11–14B-0.1pt8.1%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 78% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026? entschieden?
- Will Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026? soll am 1. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Anthropic's public Form S-1 appear on SEC EDGAR by October 31, 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Anthropic, PBC confidentially submitted a draft registration statement on Form S-1 to the SEC on June 1, 2026 (Anthropic's own announcement, CNBC).