Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
One-OffPolitikWahlBusiness & Corporate3Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 91%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
41.484,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
91.5% / 95.9%
Spread
4.8%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
1. Nov. 25, 14:003. Nov. 26, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes91%
Plattformen vergleichen· Yes
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt61% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 100% | — | 2648,9 € | 0 € | vor 29 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Niedrig | 91% | — | 0 € | 41.484,7 € | vor 15 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
38.5%Geschlossen
Aufgelöst
Ja (100%)
+0.4%100%
-0.4%0%
63 • Mittlere QualitätEnger SpreadNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen217.214,1 €
24h-Volumen2648,9 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
- Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
- The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
- The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$102. Juli22T Daten25. Juli
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If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
- Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
- The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
- The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.