Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
1.0% (24h)One-OffPolitikUS PoliticsWahlBusiness & Corporate1J
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 39%+1.0%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
12,3 €
Liquidität
1142 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
38.0% / 39.0%
Spread
2.6%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
29. Dez. 25, 15:003. Nov. 27, 4:59
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes39%
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
6Mon
35%
65%
Community-Prognose418 PrognostikerTyp: binary
Gesamtvolumen211.447,3 €
24h-Volumen4165,1 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A referendum "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple majority, supermajority, or other threshold), meets any minimum voter turnout requirements if applicable, and is certified as passed by the official electoral authority.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A referendum "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple majority, supermajority, or other threshold), meets any minimum voter turnout requirements if applicable, and is certified as passed by the official electoral authority.