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  3. Illinois pension debt in 2026?
Illinois pension debt in 2026?

Illinois pension debt in 2026?

YearlyPolitikUS PoliticsBusiness & Corporate4Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Above $140 billion
Above $140 billion 93%
Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat

40 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

33,7 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

93.0% / 98.0%

Spread

5.4%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten

13. Mai 26, 17:001. Nov. 26, 13:29

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Above $140 billion93%

Regeln

If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is above $140 billion, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Underlying is the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026, as reported in the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability’s November Special Pension Briefing.
  • The five State-funded retirement systems are the Teachers’ Retirement System, State Universities Retirement System, State Employees’ Retirement System, Judges’ Retirement System, and General Assembly Retirement System.
  • Use the value reported for total unfunded liabilities, or an equivalent combined unfunded actuarial liability figure, for all five systems together.
  • The value should be based on the actuarial value of assets / smoothed value of assets, not the market value of assets, unless CGFA does not report an actuarial/smoothed-value figure for FY2026.
  • If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is above $145 billion, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is above $140 billion, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The Underlying is the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026, as reported in the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability’s November Special Pension Briefing.
  • The five State-funded retirement systems are the Teachers’ Retirement System, State Universities Retirement System, State Employees’ Retirement System, Judges’ Retirement System, and General Assembly Retirement System.
  • Use the value reported for total unfunded liabilities, or an equivalent combined unfunded actuarial liability figure, for all five systems together.
  • The value should be based on the actuarial value of assets / smoothed value of assets, not the market value of assets, unless CGFA does not report an actuarial/smoothed-value figure for FY2026.
  • If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is above $145 billion, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes.