Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 81.7%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet21. Aug. 26, 01:44 UTC31. Dez. 26, 17:00 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Resolves YES if the U.S. Treasury's reported Total Public Debt Outstanding reaches or exceeds $41,000,000,000,000 at any time through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Use the latest official value if Treasury later corrects a publication.
- Primary source: Treasury FiscalData — Debt to the Penny.
- The market closes 12 hours before the deadline.
Offene Märkte
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.4%-1.5pt100%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 273.269 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6581,9 €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.85%-26.0pt41%
- 4.82%-37.5pt39%
- 4.91%-12.5pt35%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.74% or above99%
- 4.72% or above99%
- 4.66% or above99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6056,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6056,9 €
KALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 5.17% or above99%
- 5.11% or above99%
- 5.13% or above99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6047,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6047,1 €
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.35% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5527,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5527,3 €
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.53% or above99%
- 4.47% or above99%
- 4.41% or above99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5123 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5123 €
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- SOFR for September 8, 2026
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- US defaults on debt by 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will US gross federal debt reach $41 trillion before 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 82% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will US gross federal debt reach $41 trillion before 2027? entschieden?
- Will US gross federal debt reach $41 trillion before 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will US gross federal debt reach $41 trillion before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if the U.S. Treasury's reported Total Public Debt Outstanding reaches or exceeds $41,000,000,000,000 at any time through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026.