Will US Gov pay off X/Twitter's debt by 2027?
KapitalmaßnahmenOne-OffUS-PolitikWirtschaft & Unternehmen2MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 20:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95.5%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet7. Jan. 25, 15:24 UTC2. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by which date?
PolymarketWill a NATO or EU country order ISPs to block a US .gov website before end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsUS gov lists a wanted fugitive's location as in space through 2033
Manifold MarketsWill a federal court filing by the US gov allege that Ilhan Omar's ex-husband is her biological sibling, by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will the US take a stake in?
PolymarketWill Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market is to track a prediction made in an ArsTechnica comment:
- "Within the next two years Musk will successfully persuade Trump to pay off Twitter/X's debts using public funds.
- He'll give Trump a tub-thumping speech about how paying off the debt using public funds is 'by the people for the people' or some nonsense like that, call Trump a bastion of Free Speech for doing it, and bingo, Musk's Twitter debt is gone."
- Resolves YES if a significant portion of the debt incurred to take Twitter private is paid for by US government.
- Resolution will try to stick to the comment's original claim, rather than being interpreted broadly.
- So if, for example, X passes through bankruptcy court and is given a loan by US gov (transferring initial debts from private lenders to gov, but not waiving them), then this would not count.
