Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
1.0 Pkt. (24h)One-OffPolitikWahlChessUS PoliticsSport1Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
National + ACT + NZF 46.1%-1.0ptFührend unter 18 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
127,9 €
Liquidität
226.923,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
8
7d-Änderung
+4.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
4. Mai 26, 20:12 UTC7. Nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election
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KalshiWho will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
KalshiRegeln
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next New Zealand general election.
- A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
- Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post will not qualify.
- The following parties will be considered for this market: ACT New Zealand (ACT), Labour Party (Labour), Te Pāti Māori (Maori), National Party (National), Green Party (Green), and New Zealand First Party (NZF).
- All other parties will not be considered.