Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 55%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
7. Jan. 25, 16:28 UTC1. Jan. 50, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will AI take 50% of human jobs before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Al take 25% of human jobs before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Al take 25% of human jobs before 2045?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will Al take 25% of human jobs?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in the world throughout the 2020s
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution Criteria:
- The question will resolve to YES if at least one of the following occurs:
- The broader unemployment rate (U-6) reaches 25% or higher
- The labor force participation rate drops by 25% or more from its 2024 baseline of 62.5%.
- In this context the LFPR should fall to 46.9% or lower.
- This question is concerned with lost jobs and not the number of hours worked per week.
