Will a scientific discovery extend human lifespan by more than 10 years within the next 20 years?
One-OffGesundheit & MedizinWissenschaft18JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 61.7%
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet15. März 24, 00:30 UTC22. Dez. 44, 02:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Update 2026-10-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified a potential path to resolution:
- The market may resolve to YES based on results from dog lifespan trials (such as TRIAD or Loyal's STAY study) if there is clear evidence that the same lifespan-extending results will apply to humans using the same drugs.
