Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027?
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Veraltet12. Aug. 23, 05:27 UTC2. Jan. 27, 05:59 UTC
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KalshiRegeln
Resolves NO on January 1, 2027 if no such proof has yet been found.
- Resolves YES if such a proof is found before then.
- This would obviously likely be by an AI, but proofs from human mathematicians also count.
- I wanted a version of this question that resolves closer to within my apocalypse timeline, so I'll actually be forced to pay up [by my reckoning] if I'm wrong and Fermat goofed or was messing with us.
- I'll also be forced to pay up if people just don't turn a lot of compute toward answering this question, but I think this setup gives overall better incentives to short-timeline people.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 98% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027? entschieden?
- Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027? soll am 2. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves NO on January 1, 2027 if no such proof has yet been found.