Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 83%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet3. Apr. 24, 12:28 UTC11. Dez. 40, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will ASI be developed 5+ years after AGI?
Manifold MarketsWill the first robotic AGI be developed using a transformer-like architecture?
Manifold MarketsWhen will AGI be developed and released to the public?
Manifold MarketsBy which years will AGI be released (Hendrycks definition >95%)?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
AGI will be taken from Manifold AI’s definition.
- A Paper clip maximizing AGI is an AGI with the sole purpose of producing the most paper clips possible
