Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 68.2%
Prognostiker
24
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet3. Feb. 24, 19:29 UTC1. März 00, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer?
Manifold MarketsWhat will come first Superconductor or Cure for cancer? (Yes Conductor, No Cancer)
Manifold MarketsWe will have a cure for cancer by the end of the century
Manifold MarketsWill we get a cure for cancer before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiNew pandemic before 2028?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of Mars before we get a cure for cancer.
- In the context of this question the threshold for "we get a cure for cancer" is defined as: 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- Numeric markets:
- @/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-a-cure-for-canc
- Human venture on Mars questions:
- @/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-b78c73592440