Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 09:13 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
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Veraltet11. Feb. 24, 15:03 UTC1. März 00, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will we get room temperature superconductors before we discover alien life?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before we discover alien life?
Manifold MarketsWhat will come first Superconductor or Cure for cancer? (Yes Conductor, No Cancer)
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on Mars before we get a cure for cancer?
Manifold MarketsNew pandemic before 2028?
PolymarketMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves as YES we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer.
- In the context of this question the threshold for "we get a cure for cancer" is defined as: 95% of individuals diagnosed with cancer are alive and cancer-free (complete remission) 18 months after initial diagnosis, in a least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- Numeric markets:
- @/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-a-cure-for-canc
- Discovery of alien life questions:
- @/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before-031ec0858fcc
