Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 55.3%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet13. Jan. 24, 23:17 UTC1. März 00, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill we discover alien life before 2034?
Manifold MarketsWill we discover alien life before 2035?
Manifold MarketsNear room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
KalshiWill we discover alien life before 2031?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves as YES if a superconductor at room temperature and ambient pressure has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before we discover strong evidence of past or present extra-terrestrial life
- Room temperature superconductors:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-e940f30870be
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ebfceb8eefc5
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-f41118c07313
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-3ccf49dbe194
Offene Märkte
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 232.515,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 227.313,9 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 186.088,3 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 66.667,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 28.645,4 €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will we get room temperature superconductors before we discover alien life??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 55% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will we get room temperature superconductors before we discover alien life? entschieden?
- Will we get room temperature superconductors before we discover alien life? soll am 1. März 2100 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will we get room temperature superconductors before we discover alien life? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves as YES if a superconductor at room temperature and ambient pressure has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before we discover strong evidence of past or present extra-terrestrial life