Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 20:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 55.3%
Prognostiker
40
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet13. Jan. 24, 23:17 UTC1. März 00, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will we get AGI before we discover alien life?
Manifold MarketsWill we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer?
Manifold MarketsWill we get room temperature superconductors before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill we get room temperature superconductors before a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsNear room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Oct 25, 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves as YES if a superconductor at room temperature and ambient pressure has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before we discover strong evidence of past or present extra-terrestrial life
- Room temperature superconductors:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-e940f30870be
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ebfceb8eefc5
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-f41118c07313
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-3ccf49dbe194
