Who is behind Union Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter?

KIOne-Off

Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Unbiased Co (99%)

Entschieden: 18.09.2026, 02:00

Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung

CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

7d-Änderung

+50.0 pts

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Tagen

Veraltet

16. Sept. 26, 16:18 UTC18. Sept. 26, 02:00 UTC

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Xiaomi (MiMo company)0.1%

Z.ai / Zhipu AI (GLM company)0.1%

OpenAI0.7%

Anthropic0.6%

Alibaba (Qwen company)0.1%

Moonshot AI (Kimi company)0.1%

Google0.7%

xAI / Cursor0.1%

Other0%

Mistral0.1%

Microsoft0.1%

OpenRouter itself0.1%

Sakana AI0%

DeepSeek1%

Unbiased Co99%

Unbiased Co

Gewonnen

Xiaomi (MiMo company)

Verloren

Z.ai / Zhipu AI (GLM company)

Verloren

OpenAI

Verloren

Anthropic

Verloren

Alibaba (Qwen company)

Verloren

Moonshot AI (Kimi company)

Verloren

Google

Verloren

xAI / Cursor

Verloren

Mistral

Verloren

Microsoft

Verloren

OpenRouter itself

Verloren

Sakana AI

Verloren

DeepSeek

Verloren

Safe Superintelligence

Verloren

Other

Verloren

Verwandte Märkte

Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.

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Regeln

“Union Alpha,” an anonymous “stealth” model that appeared on OpenRouter earlier today (September 16, 2026).

[tweet]OpenRouter claims it sets a new frontier on cost effectiveness on DeepSWE:
[image]Update 2026-09-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * If Union Alpha is a blended combination of multiple models under the hood, the market will resolve to the institution that built and managed the combination, regardless of where the underlying tokens originate.

Datenproblem bei diesem Markt melden

Who is behind Union Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter?

KIOne-Off

Manifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Unbiased Co (99%)

Entschieden: 18.09.2026, 02:00

Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung

CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

7d-Änderung

+50.0 pts

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Tagen

Veraltet

16. Sept. 26, 16:18 UTC18. Sept. 26, 02:00 UTC

Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf

Xiaomi (MiMo company)0.1%

Z.ai / Zhipu AI (GLM company)0.1%

OpenAI0.7%

Anthropic0.6%

Alibaba (Qwen company)0.1%

Moonshot AI (Kimi company)0.1%

Google0.7%

xAI / Cursor0.1%

Other0%

Mistral0.1%

Microsoft0.1%

OpenRouter itself0.1%

Sakana AI0%

DeepSeek1%

Unbiased Co99%

Unbiased Co

Gewonnen

Xiaomi (MiMo company)

Verloren

Z.ai / Zhipu AI (GLM company)

Verloren

OpenAI

Verloren

Anthropic

Verloren

Alibaba (Qwen company)

Verloren

Moonshot AI (Kimi company)

Verloren

Google

Verloren

xAI / Cursor

Verloren

Mistral

Verloren

Microsoft

Verloren

OpenRouter itself

Verloren

Sakana AI

Verloren

DeepSeek

Verloren

Safe Superintelligence

Verloren

Other

Verloren

Verwandte Märkte

Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.

Will any frontier LLM provider introduce a model explicitly optimized for aesthetic judgment or ‘taste’ in 2026?

Manifold Markets

Frontier LLM mobile apps can be backgrounded mid reasoning in November 2026?

Manifold Markets

Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?

Manifold Markets

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Kalshi

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Polymarket

Anthropic IPO by which date?

Polymarket

Regeln

“Union Alpha,” an anonymous “stealth” model that appeared on OpenRouter earlier today (September 16, 2026).

[tweet]OpenRouter claims it sets a new frontier on cost effectiveness on DeepSWE:
[image]Update 2026-09-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * If Union Alpha is a blended combination of multiple models under the hood, the market will resolve to the institution that built and managed the combination, regardless of where the underlying tokens originate.

Datenproblem bei diesem Markt melden

Häufige Fragen

Wann wird Who is behind Union Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter? entschieden?: Who is behind Union Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter? soll am 18. September 2026 entschieden werden.
Wie wird Who is behind Union Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter? abgerechnet?: Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: “Union Alpha,” an anonymous “stealth” model that appeared on OpenRouter earlier today (September 16, 2026).

Who is behind Union Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter?

Who is behind Union Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter?

Häufige Fragen

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