Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNobody (% of prize not given out at all) 57.9%+32.9ptFührend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
20
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+32.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
8. Sept. 26, 15:17 UTC31. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsWhich of the following Millennium Prize Problems will be solved before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve in proportion of each party's % of the 1M prize they receive, in relation to the Navier-Stokes solution probably about to be announced by OpenAI
- Update 2026-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a party is awarded the prize but rejects it, they will be considered to have not received it for the purposes of resolution.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who gets the Millennium Prize for solving Navier-Stokes??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Nobody (% of prize not given out at all) mit 58% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who gets the Millennium Prize for solving Navier-Stokes? entschieden?
- Who gets the Millennium Prize for solving Navier-Stokes? soll am 31. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who gets the Millennium Prize for solving Navier-Stokes? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve in proportion of each party's % of the 1M prize they receive, in relation to the Navier-Stokes solution probably about to be announced by OpenAI