PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
2028 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
2028 40%Führend unter 3 Optionen
2028 40%Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
43.476,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätOpen Interest
4232,4 $
Geld / Brief
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2028Spread
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Kommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+0.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
9. Sept. 26, 16:21 UTC1. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
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Markttiefe · 2028
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will open models be able to solve Navier Stokes by the end of 2028 for under $1000 in compute?
Manifold MarketsWill the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the Navier-Stokes problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketOpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) awards a Millennium Prize for the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, or otherwise officially declares the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem solved on its website or in an official communication, by 11:59 PM ET of the listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A Millennium Prize award will qualify as an official declaration, but is not required; an official CMI statement that the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem has been solved is sufficient on its own.
- Whether the solution was produced in whole or in part by artificial intelligence, and whether any recipient accepts or declines a prize, will not be considered.
- A published or publicly posted proof will not qualify on its own, regardless of its acceptance by the mathematical community.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the Clay Mathematics Institute (e.g., https://www.claymath.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to confirm that a qualifying CMI declaration or award has occurred.
