Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool]
Middle EastGeopolitikOne-Off14JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBolivia 100%Führend unter 32 Optionen
Prognostiker
27
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+61.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet30. Okt. 23, 19:37 UTC1. Jan. 41, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
PolymarketWhich countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
PolymarketWill Israel recognize a state of Palestine before the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill as many or more countries recognize Palestine than Israel by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Finland recognize a state of Palestine before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Any number of these states can resolve Yes at any time between now and the end of 2040.
- All remaining will resolve No at that time.
- If recognition is granted and then later withdrawn, the Yes resolution will remain.
- In the last few years, multiple nations have normalized relations with Israel, such as Morocco, UAE, and Kosovo.
- Will this trend pick up again, or will the recent destruction in Palestine cause a long diplomatic winter?
- If any states break preexisting relations with Israel, they can be added by me.
Offene Märkte
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.5pt64%
- October 31+5.0pt39%
- September 3010%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 26,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 234.918,5 €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 59,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 230.786,7 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+3.0pt100%
- September 25+5.0pt96%
- September 30+9.0pt90%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- October 31+3.0pt76%
- September 3030%
- September 22-5.0pt1%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-1.5pt18%
- October 31-2.0pt11%
- September 30-1.7pt1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Iran leadership change by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool]?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Bolivia mit 100% (Stand: 21. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool] entschieden?
- Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool] soll am 1. Januar 2041 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool] abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Any number of these states can resolve Yes at any time between now and the end of 2040.