Dieser Markt wurde entschieden: Google (98.3%)
Entschieden: 02.10.2026, 01:08
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 02.10.2026, 12:34 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
Anthropic0.4%
OpenAI0.4%
Google98.3%
SpaceXAI0.4%
Others0.4%
Gewonnen
Verloren
Verloren
Verloren
Verloren
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- Source of Truth: This market will resolve based on the official "Text Arena - Overall" leaderboard standings of the LMSYS Chatbot Arena, hosted at Hugging Face Chatbot Arena or Arena AI.
- Timing: The standings will be evaluated based on the leaderboard state on October 1, 2026.
- If the live site is down, the most recent update or snapshot around that date will be used.
- Winning Lab: Resolution is determined by the organization/developer of the model ranked #1 overall.
- Ties: In the event of an exact tie in Elo score at the #1 spot, the model listed first (occupying the top row) in the default leaderboard view will determine the winning lab.
