Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
KIManifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Google (96.8%)
Entschieden: 01.08.2025, 02:25
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseGoogle 96.8%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
193
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 197 Tagen
Veraltet1. Mai 25, 4:4031. Juli 25, 23:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
OpenAI3%
xAI0%
Anthropic0%
Google96.8%
Meta0%
Alibaba0%
DeepSeek0%
Moonshot0.1%
Other0.1%
96.8%
3%
0.1%
0.1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category without filters (without style control or show deprecated), at the end of July 31st, 2025 11:59PM ET.
- In the case of a tie, all companies tied for 1st place resolve to equal probability, such that they sum to 100%.
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-I0QsydsZuz
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-0CRdhqptRl
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-uIgZPlOt5d
Offene Märkte
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 255.550,9 €
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 143.613,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 130.468,9 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7,8 Mio. €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Google mit 97% (Stand: 4. Februar 2026).
- Wann wird Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) entschieden?
- Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) soll am 31. Juli 2025 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which company has best AI model end of July 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category without filters (without style control or show deprecated), at the end of July 31st, 2025 11:59PM ET.