Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseClaude Code 74.2%+4.1ptFührend unter 11 Optionen
Prognostiker
26
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+0.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet25. Juni 25, 22:1631. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
0.4%
Regeln
Resolves to whichever coding agent i consider to be the most popular by January 1, 2027, informed by MAU, subscriber counts, amount of tokens processed, etc. I might resolve through a poll if i feel like it is too close.
- To be considered a CLI coding agent: - It has to run on the terminal - It has to have the ability to edit, create and delete files by prompting it using natural language
Offene Märkte
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 255.550,9 €
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 143.613,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 130.468,9 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7,8 Mio. €
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BMW Championship Winner
- XRP price on August 21
- XRP price on August 31
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which CLI coding agent will be the most popular EOY2026? [add answers]?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Claude Code mit 74% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird Which CLI coding agent will be the most popular EOY2026? [add answers] entschieden?
- Which CLI coding agent will be the most popular EOY2026? [add answers] soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which CLI coding agent will be the most popular EOY2026? [add answers] abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves to whichever coding agent i consider to be the most popular by January 1, 2027, informed by MAU, subscriber counts, amount of tokens processed, etc. I might resolve through a poll if i feel like it is too close.