Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBefore 2028 87.7%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet13. Juni 26, 15:48 UTC1. Jan. 30, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
By 2030, AI can beat the best human Starcraft 2 players at least 50% of the time, given a video of the screen.
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PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Beat = get statistically significant better scores (p = 0.05) than the best human on a tournament on Metaculus
- Update 2026-06-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Superforecasters are allowed to use the best AI models when competing against forecasting bots.