What is the risk-free interest rate on Manifold, now that loans are ~~gone~~ back?
FedOne-OffMakro & Wirtschaft4J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Resolves No at end of 2026 1%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Resolves No at end of 2026 1%Prognostiker
32
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet6. Juli 24, 18:53 UTC1. Jan. 31, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What's the risk-free interest rate until 2028 on Manifold Markets?
Manifold MarketsThis question will resolve NO on January 1, 2050 (risk free interest rate question)
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FutuurUS basic interest rate at the end of 2026
FutuurRegeln
These markets resolve No on popular market resolution dates, so the percentage of these markets show the opportunity cost of money for markets resolving on those dates.
- There are existing markets for this already, but they were created while Manifold was giving loans for long term markets, which caused interest rates to be much lower.
- And there is no incentive to correct them by buying Yes unless you think other traders will need to liquidate their positions to free up capital, so they do not reflect the current risk-free interest rate.
