![Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fuser-images%252Fdefault%252FuRP5cdySLP.webp%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D17d6f253-732f-4721-8f31-075afb093cb9&w=128&q=80)
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 96.4%
Prognostiker
78
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet9. Jan. 26, 08:06 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we observe a supernova in the Milky Way Galaxy before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the Milky Way collide with the Andromeda galaxy?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
PolymarketDrop in India’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
FutuurDrop in Mexico’s S&P long-term credit rating in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
Resolves to YES if the Milky Way still exists in 2030.
- I will treat this as an adversarial long-term interest market that should better reflect the interest rates in real long-term markets.
- I will try to keep the "No" price as high as possible.
- This may include:
- Buying "No" shares
- Buying "No" shares at inconvenient times to make people lose their league spot
Offene Märkte
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt53%
- No change-4.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt45%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 33,3 Mio. €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt47.8%
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt46.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No86%
- Yes+3.8pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 995.214,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 39.357,2 €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)-0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)+0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.3pt2%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt2.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market]?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 96% (Stand: 7. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market] entschieden?
- Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market] soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the Milky Way still exist in 2030? [long-term interest rate market] abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves to YES if the Milky Way still exists in 2030.