Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDelcy Rodríguez remains as acting president of Venezuela through 15 February 2026 100%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
32
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet5. Jan. 26, 19:34 UTC1. Jan. 27, 05:59 UTC
Trends
100%
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
World Conflict Prop Bets 2025-2027 [High Liquidity]
Manifold MarketsWill the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict?
Manifold Markets[ACX 2026] Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Venezuela become 51st state?
PolymarketVenezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
PolymarketU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Please add more answers!
- In this market, "by 31 March 2026" is inclusive — if it happens on 31 March, it resolves YES.
- Markets with specific deadlines will be resolved according to their deadlines in US Eastern Time.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 470.753,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.050,2 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US–Venezuela conflict prop bets?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Delcy Rodríguez remains as acting president of Venezuela through 15 February 2026 mit 100% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird US–Venezuela conflict prop bets entschieden?
- US–Venezuela conflict prop bets soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US–Venezuela conflict prop bets abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Please add more answers!