US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028
PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsSociety & Culture1J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 65.5%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet26. Juli 24, 19:15 UTC1. Aug. 28, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the NFL announce a team for any non-US city by the start of the 2026 season?
Manifold MarketsIf the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will a national 6 week or less abortion ban be passed by the midterm election?
Manifold MarketsWill Prince Andrew testify publicly before Congress in 2026?
PredictItGraham Platner divorce by October 31?
PolymarketColorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?
PolymarketRegeln
a) "US city, county, or state": An incorporated city, county, or state within the 50 United States and District of Columbia.
- This also includes city-like things such as villages, towns etc which are distinct administrative divisions.
- Ie the colloquial use of "city".
- Unusual region designations which have their own governing structure and meet other criteria are included.
- National parks etc don't count. b) "Population": The most recent official population estimate from the U.S. Census Bureau prior to the name change at the point of the change becoming final and official.
- Judgment criteria:
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 691.801,4 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,6 Mio. €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 66% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028 entschieden?
- US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028 soll am 1. August 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: a) "US city, county, or state": An incorporated city, county, or state within the 50 United States and District of Columbia.