Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 78.9%
Prognostiker
127
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert4. Apr. 22, 20:35 UTC1. Jan. 30, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Level 5 self driving cars be available by (YEAR)?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiOpenRouter AI token usage in October
KalshiRegeln
This market's resolution piggybacks on Jeff Atwood and John Carmack's bet documented on the Coding Horror blog: https://blog.codinghorror.com/the-2030-self-driving-car-bet/
- However they resolve their bet is how this market resolves.
