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Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet10. Jan. 24, 12:39 UTC1. Jan. 30, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any USA state ban self driving cars by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
I'll define major as largest 10 metro areas.
- For self-driving I'll use SAE level 3.
- https://www.sae.org/binaries/content/gallery/cm/content/news/sae-blog/j3016graphic_2021.png
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 961.071,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 741.910,1 €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 701.281,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 685.821 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.4pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 907.202,1 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
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- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 66% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030? entschieden?
- Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: I'll define major as largest 10 metro areas.