Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 01:11 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognosePrison for life without possibility of parole 43.8%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet18. Sept. 25, 23:47 UTC18. Sept. 27, 23:40 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Tyler Robinson convicted of murder by July 31st 2027?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketTyler Robinson Sentence? (Ultimate Result)
Manifold MarketsWill Tyler Robinson be alive on December 31st, 2026?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson sentenced to death by December 31, 2026
Manifold MarketsTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves based on the verdict handed down in the first trial, without regard to appeals or other later outcomes.
- Plea deal results included, this does not require the case to go to trial.
- Inspired by @/realDonaldTrump/tyler-robinson-sentence but intended to be shorter timeframe and cleaner.
- "Other" includes weird but technically possible results like fine or community service or other guilty pleas that result in punishment but no jail time.
- "the named outcome" includes mistrials, Robinson dying before a result, or other outcomes that do not produce a result.
- This market will not resolve n/a.
