Tyler Cowen thinks Claude 3 meets some definitions of AGI. Five years from now, will Claude be considered an early AGI?
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Tyler's full thoughts here:
- https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2024/03/claude-3-pro-and-agi.html
- He says that the term AGI is nebulous, and his point is that if you sent Claude 3 back in time to 2019, they (err, we) would have hailed it as AGI.
- Absent the ability to time travel, the only way we can get perspective on this is to wait.
- In 2029, I will look for the following criteria to determine if people consider Claude 3 to be a baby AGI:
- Is there a general consensus among AI researchers? I will look for measurements on this rather than vibes; if there is AGI at that time I'd imagine there's polling on which system people consider to be the first system.
