Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 67.8%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet15. Dez. 23, 23:19 UTC31. Dez. 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
PolymarketBen Pasternak jailed?
PolymarketWhen will someone be jailed because their AI snitched on them?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
KalshiWho will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Zbigniew Ziobro is a Polish politician and lawyer, born on August 18, 1970.
- A member of the Law and Justice Party (PiS), he has served as Poland's Minister of Justice and Public Prosecutor General.
- Known for his firm stance on law and order, Ziobro has been a key figure in Poland's judicial reforms, making him a significant yet polarizing figure in Polish politics.
- This market will resolve YES if Zbigniew Ziobro will face at least 7 days of jail or arrest time in any country, by December 31, 2030.
Offene Märkte
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 347.566,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.350,6 €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6819,5 €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 498.593 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6136,1 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 68% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030? entschieden?
- Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Poland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Zbigniew Ziobro is a Polish politician and lawyer, born on August 18, 1970.