PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 98%
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
444,8 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.5% / 2.4%
Spread
0.9 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
7
7d-Änderung
-1.4 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
22. Apr. 26, 23:13 UTC31. Dez. 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
PolymarketPoland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030?
Manifold MarketsPoland: Will Zbigniew Ziobro be jailed by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will someone be jailed because their AI snitched on them?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketTom Lee charged by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben Pasternak serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Offene Märkte
Crypto
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 9pm EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 566.630,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 548.352,4 €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.2pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.7pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 248.725,9 €
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 8?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
- Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Ben Pasternak jailed??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 98% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Ben Pasternak jailed? entschieden?
- Ben Pasternak jailed? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Ben Pasternak jailed? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben Pasternak serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET.