Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 77%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet4. März 25, 20:37 UTC11. März 50, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Canada becomes EU Associate Member by which date?
PolymarketIf Donald Trump becomes president again in 2024-2028, will he illegally remain commander-in-chief in 2031?
Manifold MarketsJordan Peterson becomes an Eastern Orthodox Christian before 2030
Manifold MarketsJordan Peterson becomes a Roman Catholic (ends 2030)
Manifold MarketsWill the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026?
FutuurNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRegeln
Militarily powerful way above its weight, supported by the US, surrounded by hostile countries,
- A larger block centered around Poland (e.g. with Czechia, Slovakia, Ukraine, Baltics, etc.) also counts.
- Update 2025-03-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Military Performance Clarification:
- Poland’s military must be capable of overcoming adversaries with populations several times larger than its own.
- This quantifies the notion of 'punching above its weight' as mentioned in the market description.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+2.8pt97%
- September 25-0.5pt86%
- September 3078%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 947.493,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 688.159,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt60%
- October 31+1.0pt34%
- September 30-2.0pt9%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 58,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 289.118 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+2.0pt21%
- October 31+4.0pt14%
- September 30+0.3pt3%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- No Meeting by September 30-0.8pt87.9%
- USA+1.3pt11.1%
- Pakistan-0.5pt1%
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Israel military action against Yemen by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Poland becomes the "Israel of Europe" by 2050??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 77% (Stand: 19. September 2026).
- Wann wird Poland becomes the "Israel of Europe" by 2050? entschieden?
- Poland becomes the "Israel of Europe" by 2050? soll am 11. März 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Poland becomes the "Israel of Europe" by 2050? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Militarily powerful way above its weight, supported by the US, surrounded by hostile countries,