OpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria)
InflationKIOne-OffCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate6JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 75%
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9
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 50 Minuten
Verzogert14. März 26, 08:36 UTC31. Dez. 32, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If OpenAI goes public before 2028, will I consider their claimed ARR revenue figures to be misleading?
Manifold MarketsIf OpenAI goes public and releases their first financials before 2028, what will their net income margin be?
Manifold MarketsIs Floyd Mayweather Broke? 🥊💰🤑💵💸
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
OpenAI fails financially before Dec 31 2032.
- Settlement criteria: if one or more of the following happens before the deadline, the claim resolves to YES.
- (1) Acquisition for severe discount.
- OpenAI is purchased by another firm for a valuation that is less than half of its 2025 valuation (US$500 billion 2025 dollars.) (https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/02/openai-share-sale-500-billion-valuation.html) Purchase price will be inflation adjusted to compare with the 2025 valuation.
- (2) OpenAI cannot pay its bills and fails to provide services.
- OpenAI becomes like pets.com in the early 2000s.
Offene Märkte
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 90,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 358.643,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 35.773 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 548.346,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 28.798 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 79.764,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7616,5 €
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.0pt51.9%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.6%
- 0.1%-3.0pt9.6%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- CPI core in August
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI-U index in August
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für OpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 75% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird OpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria) entschieden?
- OpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria) soll am 31. Dezember 2032 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird OpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: OpenAI fails financially before Dec 31 2032.