Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseOpenAI makes a statement by Friday 100%Führend unter 20 Optionen
Prognostiker
78
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+28.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
8. Sept. 26, 07:15 UTC1. Okt. 26, 06:59 UTC
Trends
100%
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100%
100%
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0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsDid OpenAI just solve navier stokes??
Manifold MarketsWill Navier-Stokes be considered solved on June 3th 2027?
Manifold MarketsAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
tristanbuckmaster (@[email protected])
- https://cims.nyu.edu/~tristanb/statement.pdf
- [link preview]Add anything that you think would be:
- Fun to predict, might or might not happen
- Reasonably simple to track whether it happened or not (nothing too hard to count)
- I'll resolve everything I can.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Navier-Stokes Drama Prop Bets?
- Manifold Markets bewertet OpenAI makes a statement by Friday mit 100% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Navier-Stokes Drama Prop Bets entschieden?
- Navier-Stokes Drama Prop Bets soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Navier-Stokes Drama Prop Bets abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: tristanbuckmaster (@[email protected])