Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026?
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5. Sept. 26, 03:54 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegeln
The Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem is one of the seven Clay Millennium Prize Problems, and as of 2026, the only Millennium Prize problem to have been solved is the Poincaré conjecture.
- This market asks whether Anthropic will publicly claim that one of its AI systems has resolved it.
- Resolves YES if: before 11:59 PM ET December 31, 2026, Anthropic publicly announces — or a preprint with Anthropic-affiliated authors or Anthropic’s official endorsement presents — a claimed complete resolution of the Clay Mathematics Institute’s Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem, with Claude or another Anthropic AI system credited as the primary source of the proof.
- • Either direction counts.
- A claimed proof of global existence and smoothness, OR a claimed counterexample (finite-time blow-up from smooth, finite-energy initial data), in either the R³ or periodic setting as specified in Clay’s official problem statement.
- Both resolve the Millennium problem and both count.
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- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 81% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026? entschieden?
- Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem is one of the seven Clay Millennium Prize Problems, and as of 2026, the only Millennium Prize problem to have been solved is the Poincaré conjecture.