Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 75.7%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert29. Sept. 25, 20:58 UTC1. Jan. 30, 21:53 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Manifold take down any user content due to legal threats that violate free speech principles before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Ghent fire Nathan Cofnas before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill any American citizen be extradited to the UK or elsewhere for free speech by 2040 end?
Manifold MarketsNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- Resolves Yes if any of the following occur, and the outcome is final (no pending appeal or the appeal window has lapsed):
- A UK court or tribunal issues a written judgment finding that Emmanuel College, the University of Cambridge, or another relevant body acted unlawfully in a way that violates Dr. Nathan Cofnas’s freedom of speech/academic freedom or otherwise upholds his claim arising from the April 2024 termination of his college affiliation (e.g., declaration, damages, or reinstatement).
- Verifiable via the National Archives’ Find Case Law database or the GOV.UK Employment Tribunal decisions database.
- (caselaw.nationalarchives.gov.uk)
- The Office for Students (OfS) issues an official decision or sanction finding a breach related to Cofnas’s free speech/academic freedom in this matter.