Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseEnd of 2029 32.8%Führend unter 4 Optionen
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet4. Apr. 26, 17:00 UTC11. Apr. 40, 16:33 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Where will this paper be accepted? (Do Black Holes Exist? by Modesto, Rattu)
Manifold MarketsWhere will this paper be accepted? (Black Mirrors:CPT-Symmetric Alternatives to Black Holes by Tzanavaris, Boyle, Turok)
Manifold MarketsAre naked singularities from spinning black holes physically possible?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegeln
Some mathematicians claim to derive weak lightlike singularity inside rotating black holes, without accounting for matter accretion.
- Some physicists claim that the lightlike singularity goes away once accretion is accounted for:
- As long as a black hole continues to accrete, and thereby to generate ingoing and outgoing streams near the inner horizon, the inflationary growth rate remains finite, and there is no null singularity.
- A proposition resolves to Yes, if by that date a publicly available mathematical proof shows that, within the theoretical framework of General Relativity, rotating black holes with accretion do not contain lightlike (null) singularity.
Offene Märkte
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 210.956,9 €
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- 110.461,9 €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 21.315,2 €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5178,9 €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
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- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Lightlike singularity in black holes overthrown by ??
- Manifold Markets bewertet End of 2029 mit 33% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Lightlike singularity in black holes overthrown by ? entschieden?
- Lightlike singularity in black holes overthrown by ? soll am 11. April 2040 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Lightlike singularity in black holes overthrown by ? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Some mathematicians claim to derive weak lightlike singularity inside rotating black holes, without accounting for matter accretion.