Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 77.9%
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet2. Jan. 24, 21:24 UTC1. Jan. 01, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Where will this paper be accepted? (Do Black Holes Exist? by Modesto, Rattu)
Manifold MarketsLightlike singularity in black holes overthrown by ?
Manifold MarketsWhat is true about primordial black holes?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegeln
Naked sigulaeiries are theoretically possible in our current model of physics and spinning black holes.
- However, many physicists believe something must exist to make these types of singularities impossible.
- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Naked_singularity
- A great video on the topic:
- https://youtu.be/1Z5fnwUmTSY?si=PG5bfkFyOKLB_FQT
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/1Z5fnwUmTSY?si=PG5bfkFyOKLB_FQT)This market resolves to YES if definitive evidence arises of an actual naked singularity.
Offene Märkte
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 210.956,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 110.461,9 €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 21.315,2 €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5178,9 €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Are naked singularities from spinning black holes physically possible??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 78% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Are naked singularities from spinning black holes physically possible? entschieden?
- Are naked singularities from spinning black holes physically possible? soll am 1. Januar 2101 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Are naked singularities from spinning black holes physically possible? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Naked sigulaeiries are theoretically possible in our current model of physics and spinning black holes.