Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 93%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet28. Okt. 23, 17:01 UTC1. Jan. 01, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Is the Jacobian conjecture true?
Manifold MarketsIs the Jacobian conjecture true in two dimensions?
Manifold MarketsIs the Hodge conjecture true?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegeln
The first Hardy-Littlewood conjecture, also called the k-tuple conjecture, gives an asymptotic formula for the number of primes p ≤ x such that p, p + a₁, p + a₂, ..., p + aₖ are all prime, for any tuple (a₁, a₂, ..., aₖ).
- For the exact formula, see: https://mathworld.wolfram.com/k-TupleConjecture.html
- [link preview]
Offene Märkte
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt4%
- September 30-0.6pt1%
- April 300%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 59,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 176.769,3 €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-1.1pt5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030-9.1pt62%
- Before 2029-7.9pt17%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 271.031,9 €
POLYMARKETAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- No+10.9pt97%
- Yes-10.9pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24.188,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3882,7 €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-1.5pt75.8%
- 2+0.5pt24.2%
- 3-1.0pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-1.6pt73%
- No27%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 302.895 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2845,4 €
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
- When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Is the first Hardy-Littlewood conjecture true??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 93% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Is the first Hardy-Littlewood conjecture true? entschieden?
- Is the first Hardy-Littlewood conjecture true? soll am 1. Januar 2101 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Is the first Hardy-Littlewood conjecture true? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The first Hardy-Littlewood conjecture, also called the k-tuple conjecture, gives an asymptotic formula for the number of primes p ≤ x such that p, p + a₁, p + a₂, ..., p + aₖ are all prime, for any tuple (a₁, a₂, ..., aₖ).