Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 78%
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507
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet7. Dez. 22, 22:12 UTC1. Jan. 28, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI or Anthropic have a higher initial share price upon each of their IPOs?
Manifold Markets5. Depreciation schedules become critically important, as debt plays growing role in the AI buildout [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsWill an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
By 2027-12-31, will we be able to synthesize basically any photo from a text description and sample images of people we want in the photo?
- Resolution criteria: I'm doing my best to make this objective by adding to the FAQ below and am hopeful that it won't come down to a judgment call.
- If it does, I'll do my best to gather input and hew to the spirit of the prediction.
- I'm betting in this market myself and promise to be transparent about my reasoning in the comments.
- Does the photo have to be undetectable as AI-generated?
- No, if the photo is perfectly believable on casual inspection but can be determined to be AI-generated with some forensics, that still counts as YES.