Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose2040-2049 34.6%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet23. März 25, 14:35 UTC1. Jan. 00, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
Resolution Criteria:
- For a given date to be resolved to YES at least one of the following must occur:
- The broader unemployment rate (U-6) reaches 90% or higher
- The labor force participation rate drops by 90% or more from its 2024 baseline of 62.5%.
- This question is concerned with lost jobs and not the number of hours worked per week.
- If that number goes from 40 hours/week to 20 hours/week or less that will not matter to the resolution of this question.