In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3)
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PolymarketRegeln
The third question from this post: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-five-things
- The full text is: "In 2029, AI will not be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen (extending Steve Wozniak’s cup of coffee benchmark)."
- Judgment will be by me, not Gary Marcus.
- Ambiguous whether this means start or end of 2029, so I have set it for the end.
- Update 2025-09-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The AI can perform about as well as a good human cook in most kitchens
- It does not require the kitchen to be reorganized for its use
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 57% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3) entschieden?
- In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3) soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The third question from this post: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-five-things